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06 Mar 2025 · 11:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.0%
Vorskla
31.1%
Draw
42.9%
Karpaty

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Vorskla

vs
1.16

Karpaty

Markets

BTTS39.4%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.3%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).