Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.6%
Ternana
28.4%
Draw
44.0%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Ternana
vs
1.47
Pisa
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).