Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.0%
Everton
31.2%
Draw
48.8%
Arsenal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Everton
vs
1.37
Arsenal
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
14.0%
0-0
13.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).