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DHT: 12CSV

20 May 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.3%
Villarreal B
27.5%
Draw
42.2%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Villarreal B

vs
1.30

Albacete

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).