Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.0%
Bristol City
26.4%
Draw
49.6%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Bristol City
vs
1.65
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).