Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Auxerre
29.1%
Draw
39.6%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Auxerre
vs
1.09
Lorient
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.559.0%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.3%
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
12.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).