Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.9%
Mallorca
18.1%
Draw
68.1%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Mallorca
vs
2.42
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-1
8.2%
1-3
7.7%
0-3
7.6%
0-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
1-4
4.7%
0-4
4.6%
2-1
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
0-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).