Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.1%
Barcelona
9.8%
Draw
4.2%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
3.12
Barcelona
vs
0.60
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.571.8%
Over 3.551.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.3%
2-0
11.8%
4-0
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
5-0
6.0%
4-1
5.7%
1-1
4.6%
5-1
3.6%
0-0
2.5%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).