Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.4%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
25.5%
Draw
59.1%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Wolverhampton Wanderers
vs
1.82
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-2
11.6%
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.5%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
5.9%
2-1
4.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).