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DHT: 11CSV

06 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.2%
Amiens
21.2%
Draw
22.6%
St Etienne

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Amiens

vs
1.10

St Etienne

Markets

BTTS56.1%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
10.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).