Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.1%
Dender
24.4%
Draw
52.5%
Genk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Dender
vs
1.80
Genk
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
8.7%
2-1
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
0-3
5.2%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).