Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Crawley Town
22.0%
Draw
50.3%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Crawley Town
vs
1.86
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.0%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
0-3
4.4%
2-3
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
2-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).