Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.5%
Carlisle
24.0%
Draw
54.6%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Carlisle
vs
1.60
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
11.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
7.9%
0-0
7.7%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).