Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.3%
Rennes
22.6%
Draw
28.1%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Rennes
vs
1.30
Lille
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-0
4.3%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).