Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Brentford
25.4%
Draw
26.7%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Brentford
vs
1.36
Leeds
Markets
BTTS64.2%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
5.4%
3-0
4.3%
0-1
4.0%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).