Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.1%
Hamburg
18.2%
Draw
11.7%
Ulm
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Hamburg
vs
0.96
Ulm
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.3%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
0-0
3.9%
3-2
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).