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22 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.8%
Arbroath
21.4%
Draw
11.9%
Cove Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

2.22

Arbroath

vs
0.86

Cove Rangers

Markets

BTTS52.9%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
6.0%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
4-1
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).