Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.6%
Sassuolo
24.2%
Draw
23.2%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Sassuolo
vs
1.22
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).