Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Crotone
27.5%
Draw
46.2%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Crotone
vs
1.56
Como
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
6.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).