Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Freiburg
27.4%
Draw
29.4%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Freiburg
vs
1.18
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).