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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.0%
Queens Park Rangers
23.5%
Draw
60.5%
Milton Keynes Irish

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Queens Park Rangers

vs
1.65

Milton Keynes Irish

Markets

BTTS40.4%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.0%
0-2
12.9%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-0
7.0%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).