Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.0%
Preston
28.5%
Draw
47.6%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Preston
vs
1.47
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
9.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).