Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Cheltenham
24.3%
Draw
52.8%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Cheltenham
vs
1.49
Charlton
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
1-1
11.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).