Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.1%
Oxford
18.3%
Draw
16.6%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Oxford
vs
0.95
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
8.5%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
7.0%
0-1
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).