Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Notts County
27.1%
Draw
26.6%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Notts County
vs
0.91
Colchester
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
12.4%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).