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AHT: 11

22 Aug 2025 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.0%
Widzew Lodz
29.1%
Draw
32.9%
Pogoń Szczecin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Widzew Lodz

vs
1.20

Pogoń Szczecin

Markets

BTTS52.0%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).