Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.3%
St Johnstone
25.3%
Draw
60.4%
Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
St Johnstone
vs
1.65
Hearts
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.7%
0-2
13.4%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
0-4
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
2-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).