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DHT: 01

30 Sept 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.5%
Cracovia Kraków
25.9%
Draw
20.6%
Stal Mielec

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Cracovia Kraków

vs
0.98

Stal Mielec

Markets

BTTS52.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).