Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Deportivo Alavés
29.4%
Draw
23.8%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Deportivo Alavés
vs
0.83
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.5%
2-0
9.9%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).