Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.1%
Hamburg
11.8%
Draw
8.1%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
3.50
Hamburg
vs
1.17
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS67.1%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.595.0%
Over 2.584.4%
Over 3.568.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.9%
4-1
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-0
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
5-1
4.8%
3-2
4.6%
1-1
4.2%
5-0
4.1%
4-2
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).