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16 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Alloa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.6%
Inverness C
29.6%
Draw
18.8%
Alloa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Inverness C

vs
0.71

Alloa

Markets

BTTS38.9%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.2%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).