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16 Apr 2022 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.8%
Toulouse
16.2%
Draw
13.0%
Quevilly Rouen

Expected Goals (xG)

2.34

Toulouse

vs
0.87

Quevilly Rouen

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.6%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
4.4%
0-1
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
0-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).