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HHT: 10CSV

03 Jun 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.7%
Galatasaray
17.4%
Draw
4.9%
Konyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.51

Galatasaray

vs
0.58

Konyaspor

Markets

BTTS42.2%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.3%
3-0
12.0%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-1
8.3%
4-0
7.5%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-0
3.8%
2-2
2.4%
5-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).