Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Chaves
25.7%
Draw
35.2%
Vizela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Chaves
vs
1.23
Vizela
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).