Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.5%
Nantes
15.9%
Draw
73.5%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Nantes
vs
2.32
Aris
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.7%
0-1
11.4%
0-3
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
7.6%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
5.7%
0-0
4.2%
1-4
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-2
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).