Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Gateshead
23.2%
Draw
53.4%
Torquay
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Gateshead
vs
2.00
Torquay
Markets
BTTS63.2%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.5%
0-1
6.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
5.0%
0-0
4.6%
2-3
4.1%
1-0
4.0%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).