Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.9%
Zenit
26.2%
Draw
10.9%
CSKA Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Zenit
vs
0.55
CSKA Moskva
Markets
BTTS35.5%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
2-0
15.0%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
8.2%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
4-0
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).