Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.3%
Baltika Kaliningrad
20.0%
Draw
4.7%
Krylya Sovetov
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Baltika Kaliningrad
vs
0.33
Krylya Sovetov
Markets
BTTS24.9%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.4%
2-0
19.4%
3-0
12.4%
0-0
11.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-1
6.4%
4-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
0-1
2.7%
5-0
2.3%
4-1
2.0%
1-2
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).