Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.0%
Ternana
28.8%
Draw
45.2%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Ternana
vs
1.45
Palermo
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).