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AHT: 02

03 Nov 2024 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.4%
Lechia Gdańsk
23.6%
Draw
24.0%
Cracovia Kraków

Expected Goals (xG)

1.97

Lechia Gdańsk

vs
1.29

Cracovia Kraków

Markets

BTTS63.1%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.541.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-0
4.9%
0-0
4.7%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
4.1%
0-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).