Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Casa Pia
24.1%
Draw
26.8%
Alverca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Casa Pia
vs
1.09
Alverca
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).