Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Sunderland
36.8%
Draw
26.8%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Sunderland
vs
0.79
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.581.0%
Over 1.554.4%
Over 2.525.9%
Over 3.510.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.0%
1-1
15.0%
1-0
14.8%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).