Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
Värnamo
22.0%
Draw
47.5%
Elfsborg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Värnamo
vs
2.19
Elfsborg
Markets
BTTS74.2%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.591.2%
Over 2.575.3%
Over 3.555.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
1-3
6.0%
2-3
5.2%
0-2
4.7%
3-2
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
0-1
3.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).