Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Las Palmas
27.3%
Draw
49.9%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Las Palmas
vs
1.47
Celta
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
10.0%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).