Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.6%
Ipswich
20.4%
Draw
15.0%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Ipswich
vs
0.72
Charlton
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
7.9%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
4-0
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).