Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
Hatayspor
26.7%
Draw
24.9%
Pendikspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Hatayspor
vs
1.39
Pendikspor
Markets
BTTS67.0%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
1-0
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).