Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Castellon
22.2%
Draw
26.4%
La Coruna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Castellon
vs
1.30
La Coruna
Markets
BTTS61.7%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).