Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Leeds
26.1%
Draw
41.9%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Leeds
vs
1.72
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS65.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.539.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.0%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).