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HHT: 12CSV

04 Nov 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.7%
Brentford
24.0%
Draw
20.2%
West Ham

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02

Brentford

vs
1.17

West Ham

Markets

BTTS61.2%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
0-0
5.4%
3-2
3.9%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).