Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Northampton
26.5%
Draw
28.3%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Northampton
vs
0.92
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
10.2%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).